Start a Daily Fantasy Revolution on Patriots’ Day!

Apr 21, 2014 by

Start a Daily Fantasy Revolution on Patriots’ Day!

The Red Sox and Orioles wrap up their four-game series at Fenway Park on Patriots’ Day – at 11am ET. This is always a great Daily Fantasy Baseball kind of day because you get to watch an early game (when else can you watch a game while still drinking your morning coffee?), but then there are no more day games, so you have 12 games at night to choose players from.

With a dozen games going on tonight, and the Patriots’ Day game eliminated, there are some interesting plays for tournaments tonight. The Boston Marathon happens this afternoon, too. That really makes me want to load up on runners in Daily play for some reason, but I’ll hold back.

Has anyone noticed how bad the two best offenses from a year ago have been this month? The Red Sox and Tigers rank well below average, and big hitters like Miguel Cabrera and Dustin Pedroia are struggling to get going. Both teams lost key components this offseason, with Prince Fielder going to Texas and Jacoby Ellsbury heading to the Bronx.

What’s interesting is that nearly all offenses in the majors are struggling this season, so don’t put too much weight in the early down weeks for Boston and Detroit. Those down weeks are making their superstars a little more affordable for Daily Fantasy Baseball play, so let’s look at this glass as half full.

Why are offenses down? There are actually a few reasons, in my opinion.

  1. It has been unseasonably cold this month up north and even in the south. But the northern teams are affected by it more so. Balls just don’t travel as far in dense, cold air.
  2. Pitchers are still ahead of hitters in the early weeks of the season. It’s much more difficult to hit a thrown ball than to throw a ball past a hitter.
  3. The effects of PED suspensions continue to affect the scoring averages across the majors.

Load up your rosters, pretend the other entrants in your tournaments are British soldiers from 1775, and FIRE!!!

 

Patriots’ Day Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks

Here are Monday’s top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos. Also, for traditional Fantasy Baseball players, here’s an article I wrote on “11 Simple Rules to Trading Fantasy Baseball Players” you might enjoy.

300x250_mlb_free500ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Jason Collette takes the lead again on the Daily Fantasy pitching rankings, and we have a handful of aces at the top of the list. King Felix Hernandez is the easy favorite, with a game at home against the free-swinging Astros. His 0.74 WHIP is sure to get even lower after Monday night.

On the other end of the spectrum, he likes the Giants at Rockies game to be great for both lineups. Hopefully, Pablo Sandoval can get untracked.

Also, in a short “ESPN Fantasy Now” video, Tristan Cockcroft discusses why Michael Morse is a great play against the Rockies also.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Hitters

Richard Valero picks out some of the best “Batter vs. Pitcher” plays of the upcoming evening, and he points out that Pirates 2B Neil Walker looks like a good play against Cincinnati. He also has four home runs over the past week of play.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Streaming PItchers

Justin Klein shares his favorite low-cost pitchers to pick up for today’s games, including Wily Peralta, who happens to face Andrew Cashner and the Padres Monday night.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays

Beermakersfan lists a few of his favorite plays of the day at each position, including Braves 1B Freddie Freeman, who owns a .509 wOBA and is going up against Tom Koehler at Turner Field. Also suggested is Indians OF Michael Brantley who faces Kansas City’s Jeremy Guthrie.

“He has been one of my favorite OF plays so far this season and I feel like the salaries have yet to catch up because he’s another guy that just flies under the radar and gets the job done. A deeper look will tell you that he’s been solid thus far in 2014 with 16 RBI already and a great matchup on deck with Jeremy Guthrie. As you can probably tell by now, I’ve been picking on Guthrie and Brantley is probably my favorite Cleveland play tonight. He’s gone yard three times over his last six and hasn’t dropped a negative score over his last ten.” — Beermakersfan

RotoExperts.com

One of Dobish’s favorite “Big Ticket” items is Ryan Braun, who goes up against Cashner in Milwaukee.  But he really likes starting Braves SP Julio Teheran at home against the Marlins.

”The Miami Marlins have been a surprising team this season…at home. The Fish are 9-4 in the friendly confines of Marlins Park, but a dismal 0-6 on the road. That means Teheran and the Braves should have their way with the visitors. He had a complete game shutout with four strikeouts last time out in Philadelphia. What can he do for an encore?” — Dobish

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind Presented by FanDuel

Brad Johnson points out that the Rockies game and the Red Sox (early) game are two of the four best games according to Ball Park Factors updated daily. Since the Cubs game has some weather concerns, the fourth game to consider is the Brewers game against San Diego.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Brett Talley gets all smart on us and does some analysis on if playing Daily Fantasy Baseball affects our opinions of players in traditional Rotisserie play and vice-versa. He also shares his five favorite picks for Monday, including Oakland’s Dan Straily as a cheaper option, going against the Rangers.

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Ian Kinsler is Adam Meyer’s “Must-Start of the Day,” as he faces John Danks tonight.

”Last week, Kinsler batted .364 (8-22) with one home run, seven RBI, and a stolen base. Look for his hot streak to continue since his career numbers against John Danks is favorable (12-37 with four homers). Though Kinsler hasn’t seen many lefties this season, he is still hitting .444 against them (4-9). Plus, in his new Detroit home, Kinsler is 14-41 (.341).” – Meyer

RotoScouting.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds

Mike Newman chooses a “quartet of slumping MLB All-Stars” that are worth leaning on for tonight’s matchups.

”Today, Ian Desmond faces Garrett Richards and his career xFIP of four-plus on the road. Washington is in the top-10 for friendliest run scoring ballparks and the Nationals shortstop was 52% better than league average at home versus RHP in 2013.” — Newman

What better way to celebrate the beginning of the American Revolution than to play some Daily Fantasy Baseball games – with a twack of beer!

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Seeing Red on a Manic Monday

Apr 7, 2014 by

Seeing Red on a Manic Monday

Here are your top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles of the day! If you know of an article I’ve missed, drop it in the comment section, or tweet it at me @DavidGonos.

LockerRoomFantasySports.com – News & Notes

As I’ve mentioned before, I’m a big fan of what these guys do on a nightly basis, going through and handpicking some of the best tweets and tidbits from the day’s action. It’s a nice primer for starting the day in baseball.

It’s just crazy to think that Chris Colabello is leading the American League with 11 RBI so far. He’s seeing the ball really well, right now, and he’ll face off against lefty Scott Kazmir this afternoon! Colabello’s already up in the $8,000 range on Draft Day, but he’s $3,900 at Draft Kings, and $2,500 on FanDuel. The salaries have climbed a bit this past week, but he could still be a bargain in the early matchups.

(With that said, he’s a 30-year-old slugger, whose batting average should dip considerably sooner than later. I’m not a huge fan of him in traditional Fantasy play just yet.)

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Fellow Rays fan (and current Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year) Jason Collette takes care of the Daily Notes today. He likes Cardinals’ SP Michael Wacha at home against the Reds (Joey Votto’s not having the best start to the season), and then John Lackey against Texas.

Draft Day, Daily Fantasy Baseball SitesInterestingly, he also has Reds SP Tony Cingrani ranked third, so he must expect a low-scoring Cards/Reds affair. Load up on Red Sox against SP Tanner Scheppers, however. He’s also not a fan of Matt Moore pitching at Kansas City.

<blockquote>” Tampa Bay has a history of poor play in Kansas City and Moore is struggling with his command this spring. That’s a bad combination when facing a Royals team that has the third-highest walk rate in the league at 11.2 percent.” – Collette</blockquote>

RotoExperts.com – Daily Fantasy Rundown

One of the top Daily Fantasy Baseball players in the industry, Drew Dinkmeyer, shares some of his favorite picks for today’s games.

Dinkmeyer likes Brian Dozier, who I still believe to be one of the more underrated second baseman in Fantasy, as he lines up against another lefty (Kazmir).

If you’re going to spend some money on your outfielders, both Mike Trout (at Houston) and Carlos Gonzalez (vs. CHW). For value plays, he likes White Sox leadoff hitter Adam Eaton.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Brett Talley likes using an Angels stack today against Houston, and a White Sox stack of players at Coors Field.

Hopefully, these articles help you bring back some money today!

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Welcome Homer: Reds’ Bailey Set for 2014 Debut

Apr 3, 2014 by

Welcome Homer: Reds’ Bailey Set for 2014 Debut

Before we get too far talking about Homer Bailey, I wanted to ask you to shoot on over to my column at SI.com, where I offer up “12 Tips for Daily Fantasy Baseball” — and if you like it, share it! If you don’t like it, share it! Jaykay! (Also, pretend I didn’t just say, “Jaykay.”)

Reds ace Homer Bailey makes his first start of the 2014 baseball season against St. Louis Thursday, after resting a groin injury he suffered in the middle of Spring Training.

Fantasy Baseball owners are hoping Bailey can conjure up some of the magic that allowed him to throw a no-hitter in 2012 – and then a second no-hitter in 2013. The problem is – Bailey signed a six-year $105 million contract on February 19, so that contract year we’ve been anticipating.

Bailey is just one of a small handful of star pitchers throwing today, as the Tigers send Anibal Sanchez out against the Royals, and the Nationals start Jordan Zimmermann against the Mets in Citi Field.

It’s getaway day, which means there are plenty of day games to get some action on, including the first start of heralded rookie pitcher Yordano Ventura for the Royals. Unfortunately, he goes up against Sanchez, Miguel Cabrera and Ian Kinsler at Comerica Park.

The term “getaway day” comes from the fact that Thursday is usually the final day of the early series of that week’s games. So teams and players sometimes play an early game, so they can travel that night to go to the next ballpark – or back to their home park. Sunday is this day’s equal, as teams are finishing up another series, and mostly play early afternoon games.

It’s not unusual to see star players get a day off on these days, so they get a little added rest – especially since they’re usually coming off a night game on Wednesday.

Getaway Day Greatness

SportsTradex, Daily Fantasy Baseball SitesTheFakeBaseball.com – Streaming Pitchers

Neil Parker does a nice job of handpicking a couple starters to consider in your Daily Fantasy Baseball lineups, as well as your daily traditional leagues.

Parker likes Wandy Rodriguez against the Cubs this morning, and he comes at a relatively cheap price on several sites:

  • $11,400 – Draft Day, 8th-most expensive pitcher (early games only)
  • $7,300 – Draft Kings, 8th-most expensive pitcher (early games only)
  • $4,900 – FanDuel, 17th-most expensive pitcher (all games)

LockerRoomFantasySports.com — Pitcher Picks

Parker also wrote this piece for DraftStreet.com players — he likes the rookie Ventura on their game because of his price tag ($6,981). That’s half of Wandy Rodriguez’s salary today.

By the way, you can follow Parker on Twitter @naparker77 – he tweets regularly and is a valuable guy to follow in both baseball and football seasons.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish really likes Rays starter Chris Archer, who is fresh off a new 8-year contract worth up to $43.75 million. He’ll face the Blue Jays, with Brandon Morrow opposite him.

” He went 1-0 with a 1.65 ERA in three outings over 16 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays last season, posting 10 strikeouts with an opponent batting average of .226. Vegas has the Rays installed as a big favorite, and that’s good news for Archer’s prospects.”

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

ESPN’s Mike Sheets takes a turn at the Daily Notes page, and he does have Bailey tied with Sanchez as the highest projected scoring pitcher today.

On the other end of the spectrum, he likes the Orioles to light up Red Sox starter Felix Doubront. The lefty could have some big trouble with right-handed hitters Nelson Cruz, Adam Jones and J.J. Hardy.

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

Photo Credit: Doug Gray

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Got a Crush on Crush Davis?

Apr 2, 2014 by

Got a Crush on Crush Davis?

Everyone has had an Opening Day now, including Derek Jeter’s final Opening Day with the Yankees.

And as we move forward into the season, we find just one or two ace-worthy fantasy pitchers in Detroit’s Max Scherzer and Washington’s Gio Gonzalez.

Gonzalez goes up against a Mets team that scored seven runs on seven hits in their opener in a game against Nats ace Stephen Strasburg.

Orioles slugger Chris Davis goes up against Red Sox starter John Lackey, who has given up a pair of home runs to Crush Davis in 30 lifetime at-bats. Davis is ranked as the fourth-best first baseman on Draft Day, and FanDuel has him ranked second.

Getting into a Groove

Max Scherzer gets his first start since winning the 2013 American League Cy Young award, and he’ll be facing a team he beat three times in four starts last season. He posted a 3.33 ERA with 28 strikeouts in 27 innings against the Royals. If you play in FanDuel games or other setups with just one pitcher slot, spend heavy on Scherzer Wednesday. (I’m late to the show, so Scherzer’s start is already under way.)

Gonzalez, however, starts at 7:10pm, and he’ll go up against Bartolo Colon in his new Mets jersey. Unfortunately, Gonzalez is the most expensive pitcher on Draft Day today.

TheFakeBaseball.com – FanDuel Daily Plays

Jason Guilbault likes Gio against the Mets on FanDuel because his salary checks in at just $8,000, but if you’re a believer in the Mets, then maybe you with Yankees P Hiroki Kuroda ($7,500).

“The Astros have not scored a run against Kuroda in the last 21 innings. I am looking for the Yankees to bounce back as a whole tonight, and pick up a Kuroda win.” – Guilbault

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays, April 2

300x250_mlb_free500Michael Wacha lands on the “Top Plays” list, along with Carlos Ruiz and Yunel Escobar.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

RotoGrinders pimps Andrew McCutchen tonight for a big game against Cubs P Edwin Jackson.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

ESPN’s Brian Gramling has Giants’ starter Tim Hudson ranked at the top for today, as he pitches at Arizona. He checks in as the 14th-most expensive pitcher on Draft Day this afternoon.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Speaking of Draft Day, Dobish lists several “Bargain Basement” players that might be worth a look in your daily lineup tonight, including Padres C Nick Hundley.

“Manager Bud Black started the season with three catchers on the roster. Hundley is expected to get the start in Wednesday’s game, and it might partially be due to the fact he has had tremendous success in his career against Los Angeles Dodgers SP Dan Haren ($11350). Hundley is 10-for-29 (.345) with two doubles, and RBI and a .414 slugging percentage all-time against Haren. Hundley is a great value pick if he is, in fact, in Black’s lineup as expected.” — Dobish

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind

Landon Jones does an excellent job explaining “‘stacking” and how weather should be much more important in your decision making. He also posts a pretty cool table with all of today’s starting pitchers, ranked by their wOBA allowed to batters of each handedness.

TheFantasyFix.com – Daily Fix

Scott Barzilla shares his DraftStreet.com lineup for today, and it includes starting pitchers Kuroda, Tony Cingrani and Ubaldo Jiminez.

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I pick as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks – then again, we’re 0-for-2 this season. Not cool! 

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The Fantasy Day After: Is Cain Able?

Apr 1, 2014 by

The Fantasy Day After: Is Cain Able?

Remember that time a guy named Tanner Scheppers ruined your Fantasy Opening Day? … Yeah, that sucked. He was a horrible early April Fool’s Day prank on all of us.

Lesson learned: Don’t lean on a guy that’s making his first ever start – on Opening Day. As a matter of fact, Scheppers was the first player since 1981 to make his first career start on Opening Day. (Although, the guy in ’81 was Fernando Valenzuela.)

Don’t worry, though, as you can tell – you weren’t the only one to get “Scheppered,” with minus-14 points from the youngster. As a matter of fact, Scheppers was the most purchased player on DraftDay.com yesterday, as he was rostered on 29.9 percent of Monday’s lineups. He only cost $5,000, though, which is likely the reason. He was the lowest scoring player on the day. You would have had 14 more points if you used David Gonos as your starting pitcher.

You could have paid three times Scheppers’ salary and picked Stephen Strasburg, who was the second-most used player at 23.6 percent. While he scored 29 points, that was a mediocre fantasy output compared to other aces with similar prices, like Adam Wainwright (51), Felix Hernandez (49) and Jose Fernandez (47).

Before we go further, here’s a reminder about the top 48 Daily Fantasy Baseball writers to follow on Twitter!

Opening Day (Cheap) Stars on Draft Day

  1. Cody Asche, 3B, PHI: 69 pts
  2. Alejandeo De Aza, OF, CHW: 63
  3. Justin Smoak, 1B, SEA: 63
  4. Marcell Ozuna, OF, MIA: 54
  5. Adam LaRoche, 1B, WAS: 53
  6. Anthony Rendon, 2B, WAS: 52
  7. Matt Joyce, OF, TB: 45
  8. Dustin Ackley, OF, SEA: 43
  9. Casey McGahee, 1B, MIA: 43
  10. Ben Revere, OF, PHI: 42

Today is Another Day! Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy

Matt Cain lines up against Arizona for his first start, and while ESPN ranks him as their favorite pitcher of the day, he’s coming off a spring in which he posted a 7.47 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

They have Kyle Lohse ranked second, at home against Atlanta, and that seems even a little crazier. Is this an April Fool’s joke? I’m not buying it.

Unlike Opening Day, there aren’t any big matchups between two stud pitchers, but I do like Alex Cobb against the Blue Jays, and starter Drew Hutchinson. This seems like a slam dunk to me – you know, like Scheppers.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish warns about playing any Indians and A’s on Tuesday, as there is a 100-percent chance of precipitation, and you might be left with some empty roster spots because of a rainout.

“The weather forecast looked grim for Monday’s game, too, but the weather pulled out to the east of the Bay Area and the opener was played without a hitch. Currently, the forecast states a 100 percent chance of precipitation from 7pm PT through 10pm PT, so there could very well be a delay or postponement. However, check back later in the afternoon before finalizing your roster. Things could very well clear up such as they did Monday.” – @DanielEDobish

Dobish also likes some of the Yankees players today, as they have their Opening Day a day later than the rest. He suggests Derek Jeter against an overmatched Astros team.

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind

Just after I mentioned that I like Cobb, I see that Brad Johnson loves Hutchinson today in traditional fantasy play. Citing Hutchinson’s awesome spring still makes me a little reticent.

They also have a cool chart with “Daily Updated Park Factors” that discusses how the parks line up for right- and left-handed hitters.

I’ll try to add some more links later, as they come in, but RotoGrinders doesn’t have anything up yet  for Tuesday. Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I pick as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks on Day 2. 

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