Reversal of Daily Fantasy Fortunes

Apr 17, 2014 by

Reversal of Daily Fantasy Fortunes

One of the stranger themes of this early Fantasy Baseball season is the reversal of offensive power.

In the first week of the season, we saw the Miami Marlins break out with big numbers, only to be followed up by the Chicago White Sox leading the majors in scoring with 86 runs scored after 15 games this season.

On the other end of that spectrum are the Tigers, who were among the league leaders in runs scored over the past two seasons, with Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder. But now, minus Fielder, they’re having problems crossing the plate, as they rank 29th in the majors – just ahead of Kansas City.

The Red Sox, the top scoring team of 2013, now rank 24th in the majors, just barely above the Cubs and Astros, of all teams.

These shifts are sure to correct themselves in the coming weeks, but after the first two weeks, they’ve wreaked havoc with Daily Fantasy Baseball players!

Let’s see if we can’t figure it out for Thursday’s big games! There are a dozen games ahead of us this afternoon and evening including seven games on the evening docket.

Thursday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

Here are the top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles for Thursday! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos.

LockerRoomFantasySports.com – Pitcher Picks

Neil Parker (@naparker77) shares his favorite hurlers of the day for DraftStreet’s setup. One of my favorites, Adam Wainwright, makes the list, despite his big salary.

“The Nationals average nine strikeouts a game and Adam Wainwright’s K/9 hasn’t dipped below 8.2 in his last four healthy seasons. Furthermore, the Nationals are far from healthy and Wainwright’s mound foe should struggle against a deep, potent and experienced Cardinals’ lineup.” — Parker

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Mike Sheets offers up a couple AL Central aces as his favorite starting pitchers of the day. Tigers SP Justin Verlander faces the Indians at Comerica Park, and White Sox SP Chris Sale goes up against the Red Sox. Tristan Cockcroft also likes Ian Kennedy for a spot start against the Rockies in San Diego.

FanGraphs.com – Roto Riteup For Draft Kings

Zach Sanders discusses yesterday’s news and picks “The Funky Five” for Thursday on Draft Kings, including Seattle SS Brad Miller, who faces Rangers’ starter Tanner Scheppers.

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind for FanDuel

Brad Johnson shares some spoiled grapes about how he lost to a guy that stacked against one of the pitchers the same guy took. The guy bet against himself somehow and still won, haha! Johnson also discusses some games tonight, including how he thinks the two games in Texas and the White Sox game are the ones to target offensively tonight.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Blake Murphy picks five prized picks on DraftStreet, including closer Craig Kimbrel, who you can use on DraftStreet as a third pitcher for just $3,192.

“Kimbrel, in particular, seems a safe bet to pitch Thursday, as he had a side session on Wednesday with no discomfort and the Braves draw a Phillies team they’re likely to hold a lead on.” — Murphy

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Hitters

Ben Pritchett chips in today to choose a pair of hitters to target at each position, including Nick Franklin and Astros rookie OF George Springer.

“Get him in and get your popcorn ready. Whatever happens, he’s freed up space for you to spend elsewhere. Also, it’s possible every shark will have him even though it’s not an ideal matchup, so you need to be aware of playing defense against your would-be opponents.” — Pritchett

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Pitchers

Draft Street, Daily Fantasy Baseball TournamentsDave Loughran also likes Chris Sale, but he takes Royals ace James Shields as his top starting pitcher of the day. He cites Houston’s affinity for striking out so much against right-handed pitchers last year and now this year.

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Adam Meyer is a fan of spending on pitching today, and picking up guys like Rockies 2B D.J. LeMahieu on the cheap.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish suggests using a stack of players on the Rays this evening against the Yankees.

” In the past, a matchup against the New York Yankees and SP CC Sabathiawould be an instant avoid. However, Price has been right against the Bronx Bombers, going 6-3 with a 3.81 ERA with 69 punchouts over the past 82 2/3 innings spanning 13 starts since the beginning of the 2011 season. On the flip side, Sabathia is 3-8 with a 4.53 ERA in 14 starts against the Rays since April 2011, so Price looks to have a favorable matchup at home based upon trends.” – Dobish

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

Notorious breaks down every single game, with some picks to target and players to avoid in each game. He also points out how dominant Giants SP Madison Bumgarner has been at AT&T Park.

“n 13 home starts last season he posted a 2.33 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and a K/9 of 9.4. He has also had success against the Dodgers with an ERA just over 3.00 in his last 5 starts against them. I wish he was a bigger favorite, but I still think he makes a great cash game play.” —

TheFakeBaseball.com – Daily Fantasy Forecast

Marcus Hall shares some hitters and pitchers to take a look at, including Mariners 2B Robinson Cano, who he believes is priced as a great steal.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Fantasy Hitters

In 53 at-bats against CC Sabathia, points out Richard Valero, Rays 3B Evan Longoria is batting .396 with six home runs and 13 RBI.

 Good luck – and get ready for a huge Friday with a full slate of games and big games on all of the Daily Fantasy sites.

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Draft Day Rapid Fire is Back!

Mar 28, 2014 by

Draft Day Rapid Fire is Back!

If you’ve followed me on Twitter @DavidGonos over the past year, you know that I like five things: chicken wings, beer, making fun of my friends, chicken wings, and playing Draft Day Rapid Fire!

Well, Monday’s game matchups have already been released, three days ahead of time, and I’m all jacked up to discuss!

This might be the easiest Daily Fantasy Baseball game to play, and one of the best to put money in your pocket.

The way this game works is – you pick which player will score more Fantasy points between five different matchups. If you get three out of five correct – you double your money (minus the 10-percent rake).

Making Draft Day Rapid Fire Even Easier to Play …

Last season, @EricMackFantasy and I started discussing our #RapidFire picks regularly on Twitter, each day. Then we started getting a few other guys (like @coachesser and SiriusXM host @Dan Strafford) that joined the club, and we ended up with a #RapidFire Twitter club of about four or five people that shared their picks nearly every day.

There were varied successes among the group, but we all ended up winners. I finished with a 69-38 record in that game (winning almost 65-percent of my attempts). In the early going, I was much more cautious, playing just $1 or $5 entries. After I had like a 15-5 record or so, I realized I needed to amp it up, and started hitting the $10 and $20 games.

On Friday, March 28, I woke up to find that the new Draft Day Rapid Fire game had been set up for Opening Day on Monday, March 31!

That means a couple things:

  • We’ll be able to dissect these matchups more than any other matchup this season. (Although, coming out of the All-Star break, we’ll likely have a couple days then, too.
  • We can lock in our picks now. (Don’t worry, you can change them later!) But you want to lock in your picks, and choose the highest amount you can bet. Here’s why: If someone gets hurt between now and Monday, he’ll be removed from this game, and that matchup will be replaced by a different one – for everyone else that hasn’t locked their picks in! Wouldn’t you rather choose between a player that’s playing and a player that’s not playing?

Let’s look at the Opening Day matchups!

Draft Day Rapid Fire for Opening Day

We’ll go matchup by matchup for these 10 players. If any of these matchups are changed, we’ll try to go back and assess those, too. Since I can’t see if they’ve changed, please comment or tweet at me @DavidGonos to let me know they’ve changed.

Draft Day Rapid Fire

Justin Verlander, SP, DET vs. KC – vs. – Adam Wainwright, SP, STL at CIN

This is a matchup that I’ll be going back and forth on all weekend, I have a feeling. Verlander is coming off of one of his worst seasons since 2008, but he had offseason core muscle surgery, and he didn’t allow any earned runs in 21 innings in spring training. Unfortunately, he’s going up against James Shields, who threw a complete-game loss (3 ER) in his first start for the Royals last season.

Wainwright had Tommy John surgery in 2011, so his first start in 2012 is tough to assess. His 2013 opener, however, was a complete game shutout over the Brewers. I’m a big fan of the 6-foot-7 righty this season, and I made a strong case for why I’d take Wainwright over Stephen Strasburg in standard drafts on SI.com.

Winner: I like Wainwright, despite Verlander’s spring numbers. Verlander is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA in his first starts of the season over the past five years, and he’s up against “Big Game” James.

Johnny Cueto, SP, STL vs. STL – vs. – Jeff Samardzija, SP, CHC at PIT

I don’t like this matchup at all! If I’m picking Wainwright to win, that means I’m picking Cueto to not win, which forces my hand to choose Samardzija on the road, against a Pirates team that’s coming off a huge season. I’m going to have to think about this one over the weekend.

Winner: Samardzija … for now.

Jason Heyward, OF, ATL at MIL – vs. – Jay Bruce, OF, CIN vs. STL

Justin Verlander, Draft Day Rapid Fire

Tigers SP Justin Verlander is no stranger to Opening Day starts, but can he beat “Big Game” James Shields and the revamped Royals?
Photo Credit: Genok

Heyward could move up into the leadoff spot against Yovani Gallardo and the Brewers on Opening Day. He hit .322 in 30 games as the leadoff hitter last season, and while his batting average was 14 points lower against right-handed pitchers (.250) last season, he did have about three times the power (11 HR, 27 RBI) than against lefties.

Bruce will hit cleanup against Wainwright Monday, and he hit .270 with 20 homers and 79 RBI against right-handers in 2013.

Winner: Heyward, barely. I like Wainwright better than Gallardo, which makes me like Heyward a bit more.

Evan Gattis, C/OF, ATL at MIL – vs. – Ryan Ludwick, OF, STL at CIN

Those Draft Day Rapid Fire people are tricky! Gattis has a tough time against right-handers, hitting just .236 with an OBP of .284, but he does hit for three-times more power than against lefties. Ludwick, on the other hand, is coming back from shoulder surgery, so he’ll have to prove his health to me in the early going.

Winner: Gattis, again, as I’m betting it all on Wainwright Monday.

Miguel Cabrera, 3B, DET vs. KC – vs. – Mike Trout, OF, LAA vs. SEA

The top two picks in the draft go Head-to-Head in Rapid Fire to start the season! What a great way to start this year off on Draft Day.

Cabrera flashes a little more power and ability to get on base, and Trout, of course, has the speed and the ability to score more runs.

Last season, in Draft Day’s scoring system, Cabrera scored 20.3 points per game, compared to Trout’s 20.1 ppg. For that reason, along with the fact that I love Kinsler to start the season really strong ahead of Cabrera, I like Miggy.

Winner: Cabrera, who hit .348 against right-handers last season (and he hit .366 at home), is my pick. Trout faces Felix Hernandez, and while Trout hits righties better than lefties, King Felix had a 2.45 ERA against right-handed batters last season – and he posted a 2.63 ERA on the road.

Remember – we’ll be discussing these matchups on Twitter, so follow me @DavidGonos and on @DailyFantasyD to join in on the discussions!

Or leave some comments here for everyone to debate. I think one of the reasons why Draft Day Rapid Fire is one of my favorite games is that it’s a community game. I’m not playing against you, I’m playing against the house. So let’s share info and win some money!

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