Reversal of Daily Fantasy Fortunes

Apr 17, 2014 by

Reversal of Daily Fantasy Fortunes

One of the stranger themes of this early Fantasy Baseball season is the reversal of offensive power.

In the first week of the season, we saw the Miami Marlins break out with big numbers, only to be followed up by the Chicago White Sox leading the majors in scoring with 86 runs scored after 15 games this season.

On the other end of that spectrum are the Tigers, who were among the league leaders in runs scored over the past two seasons, with Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder. But now, minus Fielder, they’re having problems crossing the plate, as they rank 29th in the majors – just ahead of Kansas City.

The Red Sox, the top scoring team of 2013, now rank 24th in the majors, just barely above the Cubs and Astros, of all teams.

These shifts are sure to correct themselves in the coming weeks, but after the first two weeks, they’ve wreaked havoc with Daily Fantasy Baseball players!

Let’s see if we can’t figure it out for Thursday’s big games! There are a dozen games ahead of us this afternoon and evening including seven games on the evening docket.

Thursday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

Here are the top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles for Thursday! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos.

LockerRoomFantasySports.com – Pitcher Picks

Neil Parker (@naparker77) shares his favorite hurlers of the day for DraftStreet’s setup. One of my favorites, Adam Wainwright, makes the list, despite his big salary.

“The Nationals average nine strikeouts a game and Adam Wainwright’s K/9 hasn’t dipped below 8.2 in his last four healthy seasons. Furthermore, the Nationals are far from healthy and Wainwright’s mound foe should struggle against a deep, potent and experienced Cardinals’ lineup.” — Parker

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Mike Sheets offers up a couple AL Central aces as his favorite starting pitchers of the day. Tigers SP Justin Verlander faces the Indians at Comerica Park, and White Sox SP Chris Sale goes up against the Red Sox. Tristan Cockcroft also likes Ian Kennedy for a spot start against the Rockies in San Diego.

FanGraphs.com – Roto Riteup For Draft Kings

Zach Sanders discusses yesterday’s news and picks “The Funky Five” for Thursday on Draft Kings, including Seattle SS Brad Miller, who faces Rangers’ starter Tanner Scheppers.

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind for FanDuel

Brad Johnson shares some spoiled grapes about how he lost to a guy that stacked against one of the pitchers the same guy took. The guy bet against himself somehow and still won, haha! Johnson also discusses some games tonight, including how he thinks the two games in Texas and the White Sox game are the ones to target offensively tonight.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Blake Murphy picks five prized picks on DraftStreet, including closer Craig Kimbrel, who you can use on DraftStreet as a third pitcher for just $3,192.

“Kimbrel, in particular, seems a safe bet to pitch Thursday, as he had a side session on Wednesday with no discomfort and the Braves draw a Phillies team they’re likely to hold a lead on.” — Murphy

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Hitters

Ben Pritchett chips in today to choose a pair of hitters to target at each position, including Nick Franklin and Astros rookie OF George Springer.

“Get him in and get your popcorn ready. Whatever happens, he’s freed up space for you to spend elsewhere. Also, it’s possible every shark will have him even though it’s not an ideal matchup, so you need to be aware of playing defense against your would-be opponents.” — Pritchett

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Pitchers

Draft Street, Daily Fantasy Baseball TournamentsDave Loughran also likes Chris Sale, but he takes Royals ace James Shields as his top starting pitcher of the day. He cites Houston’s affinity for striking out so much against right-handed pitchers last year and now this year.

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Adam Meyer is a fan of spending on pitching today, and picking up guys like Rockies 2B D.J. LeMahieu on the cheap.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish suggests using a stack of players on the Rays this evening against the Yankees.

” In the past, a matchup against the New York Yankees and SP CC Sabathiawould be an instant avoid. However, Price has been right against the Bronx Bombers, going 6-3 with a 3.81 ERA with 69 punchouts over the past 82 2/3 innings spanning 13 starts since the beginning of the 2011 season. On the flip side, Sabathia is 3-8 with a 4.53 ERA in 14 starts against the Rays since April 2011, so Price looks to have a favorable matchup at home based upon trends.” – Dobish

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

Notorious breaks down every single game, with some picks to target and players to avoid in each game. He also points out how dominant Giants SP Madison Bumgarner has been at AT&T Park.

“n 13 home starts last season he posted a 2.33 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and a K/9 of 9.4. He has also had success against the Dodgers with an ERA just over 3.00 in his last 5 starts against them. I wish he was a bigger favorite, but I still think he makes a great cash game play.” —

TheFakeBaseball.com – Daily Fantasy Forecast

Marcus Hall shares some hitters and pitchers to take a look at, including Mariners 2B Robinson Cano, who he believes is priced as a great steal.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Fantasy Hitters

In 53 at-bats against CC Sabathia, points out Richard Valero, Rays 3B Evan Longoria is batting .396 with six home runs and 13 RBI.

 Good luck – and get ready for a huge Friday with a full slate of games and big games on all of the Daily Fantasy sites.

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Stocking Up on Money, By Stacking Up on Mariners

Apr 14, 2014 by

Stocking Up on Money, By Stacking Up on Mariners

How’d you do this weekend? Bring home any wins? I’m going to say — you saw enough success to make you want to come back and hit some more games for Monday night.

There are nine games tonight, all starting after 7pm — so I had some extra time to dig into some great Daily Fantasy Baseball articles!

Our new record — 17 links to 17 great articles. It’s quite a benchmark to aim for every day!

(By the way, games start late tomorrow also! I’m going to try and break the record again!)

Monday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

Here are the top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles for Monday! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos.

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Hitters

Derek Carty picks a couple players at each position, matches them up with their salaries on four sites, and shares his favorite value plays. He likes a big stack of Rays, going up against lefty Wei-Yin Chen in Baltimore.

“Longoria has the biggest platoon split among our Rays options today—a team whose contextual factors create the most favorable matchup of the day—making Longoria a near must-play.” – Carty

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Pitchers

Dave Loughran does the same picks/value plays on different sites as Carty, but for pitchers. His second-favorite pitcher play this afternoon is Braves SP Ervin Santana, who goes up at the Phillies.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Jason Collette is back and he shares his pitcher rankings for Monday’s games. Interestingly, he likes Arizona’s Josh Collmenter at home against the Mets over any of the other matchups. He also likes Reds ace Homer Bailey against the Pirates, however.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

Notorious goes through every game to pick out some winners. He’s a big fan of Robinson Cano, who is still looking for his first home run of the season, as he faces Rangers RHP Colby Lewis – fresh from a Triple-A rehab stint.

“In 2012 Lewis gave up a .771 OPS to LH batters and Cano is my top 2B play of the day. I really think the Mariners will knock Lewis around a bit and Cano hits RH pitching almost as well as anyone. Cano against a weak RH pitcher in a hitter friendly park? Yes please!” – Notorious

RotoGrinders.com – Daily Batter Breakdown

Varncass suggests jumping on the Devin Mesoraco bandwagon, now that he’s heating up, and I’m right there with him. This guy was bound for a breakout season at the plate, and it’s starting to happen. Get him now while he’s still cheap. He’s at a hitter’s park against a left-handed pitcher, so tonight’s a good night to jump on.

Draft Street, Daily Fantasy Baseball TournamentsRotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays

Louiescards picks a pair at each position, including Troy Tulowitzki, who he suggests paying good money for Monday night at San Diego.

RotoScouting.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds

Mike Newman likes Domonic Brown and Ryan Howard going up against “home run prone Ervin Santana” and the Braves.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish notes that Albert Pujols has hit safely in nine consecutive games, and he has three home runs and six RBI in his past five games. He’s starting to outplay his bloated Daily Fantasy salary on most sites.

He also likes Justin Smoak for Seattle, citing a jetstream to right field at Globe Life Park in Arlington.

RotoExperts.com – Daily Fantasy Rundown

Leonem and Dinkpiece also like Cano to “get hot in Texas,” and they share a couple catcher picks before you have to pay for their premium package. It’s a nice system, since you get to see if they do well on a few picks before paying up for the rest.

RotoExperts.com – All In Kid’s Daily Bets

Jake Ciely shares his favorite plays of the day, which includes one of the hottest outfielders in the game – Justin Upton. Did you know Upton is now tied with Hank Aaron for the Braves’ franchise record for most home runs in consecutive Aprils? … And Upton has 15 games left!

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Adam Meyer continues his column on Daily Fantasy Baseball, and he concurs with Ciely, choosing the younger Upton as his “Must-Start of the Day.” Upton goes up against Robert Hernandez in Atlanta.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Fantasy Hitters

Richard Valero shares his favorite plays of the day, including Joey Votto, who’s going up against Wandy Rodriguez. Votto has seven extra-base hits against Wan-Rod in 54 career at-bats.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Streaming Pitchers

Justin Klein loves Rays P Chris Archer against Baltimore, but he’s also a fan of Santana and Zack Wheeler, who faces Arizona.

“Sooner or later this kid will put it together this season. After two rough starts Wheeler is a bit of a sketchy play Monday at Arizona, and that is why he’s still available in 26% of Yahoo leagues. The ERA & WHIP are going to come down, and the 12/2 K/BB ratio is a great sign. The fact that Arizona is stumbling helps as well. I’m pitching Zach on Monday and recommending you do the same.” – Klein

FanGraphs.com – Roto Riteup For Draft Kings

Zach Sanders goes over his “Daily Five” of players he likes with today’s matchups and their Draft Kings salaries. While Collette likes Collmenter against the Mets, Sanders thinks 3B David Wright still has an excellent matchup – especially with the cheap price tag ($4,400).

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind for FanDuel

Brad Johnson jumps on the stack-up-your-Rays-vs-Orioles bandwagon, but he also thinks the Marlins against Jordan Zimmermann could be a nice payoff.

“The Marlins jumped on him last time. Aside from the terrible outing and poor control, I can’t find any indicators of injury.” – Johnson

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Brett Talley shares a couple charts that show players with reverse splits (good against the same-handedness pitcher) and the reverse splits for switch hitters. He suggest starting some of these guys when they’re facing like-handed pitchers, since DraftStreet’s salaries for them will dip for those matchups.

Let us know how you end up doing after tonight’s games.

Who are your favorite Daily Fantasy Baseball writers, and am I missing any?

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Sunday Prayers for Big GPP Tournament Wins?

Apr 13, 2014 by

Sunday Prayers for Big GPP Tournament Wins?

Most games will be over by the time the sun sets tonight, so you’ll want to get your lineups in there for GPP tournaments by 12:30pm ET, then adjust accordingly as the day rolls on.

Some pitchers still looking for their first win include: Tony Cingrani, Edwin Jackson, Ubaldo Jimenez and Matt Moore.

Also, something to keep in mind on Sundays is that many times, a catcher will get a day off, allowing his backup to get the day start after a night game. This is a great way to move in some cheap backup catchers into your lineup.
 

Sunday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

Unfortunately, today I went golfing with my brother and nephews. Every year, we do a weekend dedicated to my father on Masters weekend, down at my brother’s place in Lake Okeechobee. This is the 7th Annual Don Gonos Memorial Masters Weekend Extravaganza! We get together and do all the things my dad loved – golfing, drinking, fishing, playing poker, watching golf, drinking, eating, arguing, saying regretful things, drinking, apologizing, gambling and drinking.

So today’s links aren’t directly to the columns, but rather, to the website that hosts them. So really, you’re just two clicks away from fantastic Daily Fantasy Baseball content. Leave a comment or tweet me @DavidGonos, if I missed any articles.

Draft Street, Daily Fantasy Baseball TournamentsESPN.com – Daily Notes

LockerRoomFantasySports.com

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

RotoGrinders.com

TheFakeBaseball.com

FanGraphs.com

FoxSports.com

RotoScouting.com

Don’t feel bad if you lose today – even God has a tough time choosing catchers on Sundays!

I’ll still be playing in some tournaments and some 50/50s, so let us know who your favorite picks are in the comments!

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Lessons Learned for Daily Fantasy Baseball

Apr 8, 2014 by

Lessons Learned for Daily Fantasy Baseball

We’re officially a week into the regular season now, and we’re starting to get a feel for what’s going on in the Daily Fantasy Baseball world.

We know that these Chicago White Sox and Miami Marlins are not quite the White Sox and Marlins of yesteryear.

We also got reminded – several times over the past weeks – that closers continue to be the worst Fantasy position in the history of Fantasy Sports.

You’ve also likely learned that some of the beasts from last season are still in hibernation, like Chris Davis, Adam Jones and David Ortiz.

But today’s Tuesday! Today’s the day things really turn around for you. Nearly every team is in action today, and 10 of those games are happening tonight. That means there will be tons of variations to lineups, which means you’ll have a good shot at winning a big tournament!

Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

 
Here are your top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles for Tuesday! If you know of an article I’ve missed, drop it in the comment section, or tweet it at me @DavidGonos.

Top 10 Fantasy Hitting Performances of 2013TheFakeBaseball.com – Weather Warning

Shane Gallimore looks back at last night’s games in a Daily Fantasy Baseball perspective.

LockerRoomFantasySports.com – 5 Daily Fantasy Pitcher Picks

Neil Parker (@naparker77) explains some DraftStreet strategy before picking five pitchers you might want to consider tonight.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Brian Gramling is back, and he has Max Scherzer and James Paxton at the top of today’s pitcher list, with Martin Perez and Henderson Alvarez pulling up the rear.

“On Tuesday, the 25-year-old [Paxton] has the great fortune of again facing the free-swinging Angels (52 K’s, 12 walks in first six games), this time at Safeco Field, where he has dominated in two career starts. In these 13 innings in a home uniform, Paxton has allowed just one earned run on eight hits with one walk and 13 strikeouts. He may not post seven shutout innings again, but I think he’ll pitch well enough to once again defeat the Angels and Hector Santiago (5 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 3 BB versus Seattle last week).” – Gramling

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish thinks rookie 2B/SS Marcus Semien is in for a good night at Colorado.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Daily Fantasy Picks (Evening)

Jason Guilbault offers up six players (two pitchers, four hitters) he likes for tonight’s games, including Daniel Murphy, who has a good history against SP Aaron Harang.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for FanDuel

Brad Johnson suggests taking a look at both Lance Lynn (vs. CIN) and the Nationals lineup (vs. Henderson Alvarez), among other players.

No whammies! No whammies! Good luck tonight!

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Got a Crush on Crush Davis?

Apr 2, 2014 by

Got a Crush on Crush Davis?

Everyone has had an Opening Day now, including Derek Jeter’s final Opening Day with the Yankees.

And as we move forward into the season, we find just one or two ace-worthy fantasy pitchers in Detroit’s Max Scherzer and Washington’s Gio Gonzalez.

Gonzalez goes up against a Mets team that scored seven runs on seven hits in their opener in a game against Nats ace Stephen Strasburg.

Orioles slugger Chris Davis goes up against Red Sox starter John Lackey, who has given up a pair of home runs to Crush Davis in 30 lifetime at-bats. Davis is ranked as the fourth-best first baseman on Draft Day, and FanDuel has him ranked second.

Getting into a Groove

Max Scherzer gets his first start since winning the 2013 American League Cy Young award, and he’ll be facing a team he beat three times in four starts last season. He posted a 3.33 ERA with 28 strikeouts in 27 innings against the Royals. If you play in FanDuel games or other setups with just one pitcher slot, spend heavy on Scherzer Wednesday. (I’m late to the show, so Scherzer’s start is already under way.)

Gonzalez, however, starts at 7:10pm, and he’ll go up against Bartolo Colon in his new Mets jersey. Unfortunately, Gonzalez is the most expensive pitcher on Draft Day today.

TheFakeBaseball.com – FanDuel Daily Plays

Jason Guilbault likes Gio against the Mets on FanDuel because his salary checks in at just $8,000, but if you’re a believer in the Mets, then maybe you with Yankees P Hiroki Kuroda ($7,500).

“The Astros have not scored a run against Kuroda in the last 21 innings. I am looking for the Yankees to bounce back as a whole tonight, and pick up a Kuroda win.” – Guilbault

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays, April 2

300x250_mlb_free500Michael Wacha lands on the “Top Plays” list, along with Carlos Ruiz and Yunel Escobar.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

RotoGrinders pimps Andrew McCutchen tonight for a big game against Cubs P Edwin Jackson.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

ESPN’s Brian Gramling has Giants’ starter Tim Hudson ranked at the top for today, as he pitches at Arizona. He checks in as the 14th-most expensive pitcher on Draft Day this afternoon.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Speaking of Draft Day, Dobish lists several “Bargain Basement” players that might be worth a look in your daily lineup tonight, including Padres C Nick Hundley.

“Manager Bud Black started the season with three catchers on the roster. Hundley is expected to get the start in Wednesday’s game, and it might partially be due to the fact he has had tremendous success in his career against Los Angeles Dodgers SP Dan Haren ($11350). Hundley is 10-for-29 (.345) with two doubles, and RBI and a .414 slugging percentage all-time against Haren. Hundley is a great value pick if he is, in fact, in Black’s lineup as expected.” — Dobish

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind

Landon Jones does an excellent job explaining “‘stacking” and how weather should be much more important in your decision making. He also posts a pretty cool table with all of today’s starting pitchers, ranked by their wOBA allowed to batters of each handedness.

TheFantasyFix.com – Daily Fix

Scott Barzilla shares his DraftStreet.com lineup for today, and it includes starting pitchers Kuroda, Tony Cingrani and Ubaldo Jiminez.

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I pick as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks – then again, we’re 0-for-2 this season. Not cool! 

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