Start a Daily Fantasy Revolution on Patriots’ Day!

Apr 21, 2014 by

Start a Daily Fantasy Revolution on Patriots’ Day!

The Red Sox and Orioles wrap up their four-game series at Fenway Park on Patriots’ Day – at 11am ET. This is always a great Daily Fantasy Baseball kind of day because you get to watch an early game (when else can you watch a game while still drinking your morning coffee?), but then there are no more day games, so you have 12 games at night to choose players from.

With a dozen games going on tonight, and the Patriots’ Day game eliminated, there are some interesting plays for tournaments tonight. The Boston Marathon happens this afternoon, too. That really makes me want to load up on runners in Daily play for some reason, but I’ll hold back.

Has anyone noticed how bad the two best offenses from a year ago have been this month? The Red Sox and Tigers rank well below average, and big hitters like Miguel Cabrera and Dustin Pedroia are struggling to get going. Both teams lost key components this offseason, with Prince Fielder going to Texas and Jacoby Ellsbury heading to the Bronx.

What’s interesting is that nearly all offenses in the majors are struggling this season, so don’t put too much weight in the early down weeks for Boston and Detroit. Those down weeks are making their superstars a little more affordable for Daily Fantasy Baseball play, so let’s look at this glass as half full.

Why are offenses down? There are actually a few reasons, in my opinion.

  1. It has been unseasonably cold this month up north and even in the south. But the northern teams are affected by it more so. Balls just don’t travel as far in dense, cold air.
  2. Pitchers are still ahead of hitters in the early weeks of the season. It’s much more difficult to hit a thrown ball than to throw a ball past a hitter.
  3. The effects of PED suspensions continue to affect the scoring averages across the majors.

Load up your rosters, pretend the other entrants in your tournaments are British soldiers from 1775, and FIRE!!!

 

Patriots’ Day Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks

Here are Monday’s top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos. Also, for traditional Fantasy Baseball players, here’s an article I wrote on “11 Simple Rules to Trading Fantasy Baseball Players” you might enjoy.

300x250_mlb_free500ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Jason Collette takes the lead again on the Daily Fantasy pitching rankings, and we have a handful of aces at the top of the list. King Felix Hernandez is the easy favorite, with a game at home against the free-swinging Astros. His 0.74 WHIP is sure to get even lower after Monday night.

On the other end of the spectrum, he likes the Giants at Rockies game to be great for both lineups. Hopefully, Pablo Sandoval can get untracked.

Also, in a short “ESPN Fantasy Now” video, Tristan Cockcroft discusses why Michael Morse is a great play against the Rockies also.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Hitters

Richard Valero picks out some of the best “Batter vs. Pitcher” plays of the upcoming evening, and he points out that Pirates 2B Neil Walker looks like a good play against Cincinnati. He also has four home runs over the past week of play.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Streaming PItchers

Justin Klein shares his favorite low-cost pitchers to pick up for today’s games, including Wily Peralta, who happens to face Andrew Cashner and the Padres Monday night.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays

Beermakersfan lists a few of his favorite plays of the day at each position, including Braves 1B Freddie Freeman, who owns a .509 wOBA and is going up against Tom Koehler at Turner Field. Also suggested is Indians OF Michael Brantley who faces Kansas City’s Jeremy Guthrie.

“He has been one of my favorite OF plays so far this season and I feel like the salaries have yet to catch up because he’s another guy that just flies under the radar and gets the job done. A deeper look will tell you that he’s been solid thus far in 2014 with 16 RBI already and a great matchup on deck with Jeremy Guthrie. As you can probably tell by now, I’ve been picking on Guthrie and Brantley is probably my favorite Cleveland play tonight. He’s gone yard three times over his last six and hasn’t dropped a negative score over his last ten.” — Beermakersfan

RotoExperts.com

One of Dobish’s favorite “Big Ticket” items is Ryan Braun, who goes up against Cashner in Milwaukee.  But he really likes starting Braves SP Julio Teheran at home against the Marlins.

”The Miami Marlins have been a surprising team this season…at home. The Fish are 9-4 in the friendly confines of Marlins Park, but a dismal 0-6 on the road. That means Teheran and the Braves should have their way with the visitors. He had a complete game shutout with four strikeouts last time out in Philadelphia. What can he do for an encore?” — Dobish

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind Presented by FanDuel

Brad Johnson points out that the Rockies game and the Red Sox (early) game are two of the four best games according to Ball Park Factors updated daily. Since the Cubs game has some weather concerns, the fourth game to consider is the Brewers game against San Diego.

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Brett Talley gets all smart on us and does some analysis on if playing Daily Fantasy Baseball affects our opinions of players in traditional Rotisserie play and vice-versa. He also shares his five favorite picks for Monday, including Oakland’s Dan Straily as a cheaper option, going against the Rangers.

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Ian Kinsler is Adam Meyer’s “Must-Start of the Day,” as he faces John Danks tonight.

”Last week, Kinsler batted .364 (8-22) with one home run, seven RBI, and a stolen base. Look for his hot streak to continue since his career numbers against John Danks is favorable (12-37 with four homers). Though Kinsler hasn’t seen many lefties this season, he is still hitting .444 against them (4-9). Plus, in his new Detroit home, Kinsler is 14-41 (.341).” – Meyer

RotoScouting.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds

Mike Newman chooses a “quartet of slumping MLB All-Stars” that are worth leaning on for tonight’s matchups.

”Today, Ian Desmond faces Garrett Richards and his career xFIP of four-plus on the road. Washington is in the top-10 for friendliest run scoring ballparks and the Nationals shortstop was 52% better than league average at home versus RHP in 2013.” — Newman

What better way to celebrate the beginning of the American Revolution than to play some Daily Fantasy Baseball games – with a twack of beer!

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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Stocking Up on Money, By Stacking Up on Mariners

Apr 14, 2014 by

Stocking Up on Money, By Stacking Up on Mariners

How’d you do this weekend? Bring home any wins? I’m going to say — you saw enough success to make you want to come back and hit some more games for Monday night.

There are nine games tonight, all starting after 7pm — so I had some extra time to dig into some great Daily Fantasy Baseball articles!

Our new record — 17 links to 17 great articles. It’s quite a benchmark to aim for every day!

(By the way, games start late tomorrow also! I’m going to try and break the record again!)

Monday’s Daily Fantasy Baseball Links

Here are the top Daily Fantasy Baseball articles for Monday! If I missed any articles, let me know by leaving a comment or tweeting me @DavidGonos.

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Hitters

Derek Carty picks a couple players at each position, matches them up with their salaries on four sites, and shares his favorite value plays. He likes a big stack of Rays, going up against lefty Wei-Yin Chen in Baltimore.

“Longoria has the biggest platoon split among our Rays options today—a team whose contextual factors create the most favorable matchup of the day—making Longoria a near must-play.” – Carty

FantasyInsiders.com – Daily Diamond Pitchers

Dave Loughran does the same picks/value plays on different sites as Carty, but for pitchers. His second-favorite pitcher play this afternoon is Braves SP Ervin Santana, who goes up at the Phillies.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

Jason Collette is back and he shares his pitcher rankings for Monday’s games. Interestingly, he likes Arizona’s Josh Collmenter at home against the Mets over any of the other matchups. He also likes Reds ace Homer Bailey against the Pirates, however.

RotoGrinders.com – MLB Grind Down

Notorious goes through every game to pick out some winners. He’s a big fan of Robinson Cano, who is still looking for his first home run of the season, as he faces Rangers RHP Colby Lewis – fresh from a Triple-A rehab stint.

“In 2012 Lewis gave up a .771 OPS to LH batters and Cano is my top 2B play of the day. I really think the Mariners will knock Lewis around a bit and Cano hits RH pitching almost as well as anyone. Cano against a weak RH pitcher in a hitter friendly park? Yes please!” – Notorious

RotoGrinders.com – Daily Batter Breakdown

Varncass suggests jumping on the Devin Mesoraco bandwagon, now that he’s heating up, and I’m right there with him. This guy was bound for a breakout season at the plate, and it’s starting to happen. Get him now while he’s still cheap. He’s at a hitter’s park against a left-handed pitcher, so tonight’s a good night to jump on.

Draft Street, Daily Fantasy Baseball TournamentsRotoGrinders.com – MLB Daily Plays

Louiescards picks a pair at each position, including Troy Tulowitzki, who he suggests paying good money for Monday night at San Diego.

RotoScouting.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds

Mike Newman likes Domonic Brown and Ryan Howard going up against “home run prone Ervin Santana” and the Braves.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish notes that Albert Pujols has hit safely in nine consecutive games, and he has three home runs and six RBI in his past five games. He’s starting to outplay his bloated Daily Fantasy salary on most sites.

He also likes Justin Smoak for Seattle, citing a jetstream to right field at Globe Life Park in Arlington.

RotoExperts.com – Daily Fantasy Rundown

Leonem and Dinkpiece also like Cano to “get hot in Texas,” and they share a couple catcher picks before you have to pay for their premium package. It’s a nice system, since you get to see if they do well on a few picks before paying up for the rest.

RotoExperts.com – All In Kid’s Daily Bets

Jake Ciely shares his favorite plays of the day, which includes one of the hottest outfielders in the game – Justin Upton. Did you know Upton is now tied with Hank Aaron for the Braves’ franchise record for most home runs in consecutive Aprils? … And Upton has 15 games left!

FoxSports.com – Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

Adam Meyer continues his column on Daily Fantasy Baseball, and he concurs with Ciely, choosing the younger Upton as his “Must-Start of the Day.” Upton goes up against Robert Hernandez in Atlanta.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Top 5 Fantasy Hitters

Richard Valero shares his favorite plays of the day, including Joey Votto, who’s going up against Wandy Rodriguez. Votto has seven extra-base hits against Wan-Rod in 54 career at-bats.

TheFakeBaseball.com – Streaming Pitchers

Justin Klein loves Rays P Chris Archer against Baltimore, but he’s also a fan of Santana and Zack Wheeler, who faces Arizona.

“Sooner or later this kid will put it together this season. After two rough starts Wheeler is a bit of a sketchy play Monday at Arizona, and that is why he’s still available in 26% of Yahoo leagues. The ERA & WHIP are going to come down, and the 12/2 K/BB ratio is a great sign. The fact that Arizona is stumbling helps as well. I’m pitching Zach on Monday and recommending you do the same.” – Klein

FanGraphs.com – Roto Riteup For Draft Kings

Zach Sanders goes over his “Daily Five” of players he likes with today’s matchups and their Draft Kings salaries. While Collette likes Collmenter against the Mets, Sanders thinks 3B David Wright still has an excellent matchup – especially with the cheap price tag ($4,400).

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind for FanDuel

Brad Johnson jumps on the stack-up-your-Rays-vs-Orioles bandwagon, but he also thinks the Marlins against Jordan Zimmermann could be a nice payoff.

“The Marlins jumped on him last time. Aside from the terrible outing and poor control, I can’t find any indicators of injury.” – Johnson

FanGraphs.com – Daily Fantasy Strategy for DraftStreet

Brett Talley shares a couple charts that show players with reverse splits (good against the same-handedness pitcher) and the reverse splits for switch hitters. He suggest starting some of these guys when they’re facing like-handed pitchers, since DraftStreet’s salaries for them will dip for those matchups.

Let us know how you end up doing after tonight’s games.

Who are your favorite Daily Fantasy Baseball writers, and am I missing any?

Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I choose as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks! 

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The Fantasy Day After: Is Cain Able?

Apr 1, 2014 by

The Fantasy Day After: Is Cain Able?

Remember that time a guy named Tanner Scheppers ruined your Fantasy Opening Day? … Yeah, that sucked. He was a horrible early April Fool’s Day prank on all of us.

Lesson learned: Don’t lean on a guy that’s making his first ever start – on Opening Day. As a matter of fact, Scheppers was the first player since 1981 to make his first career start on Opening Day. (Although, the guy in ’81 was Fernando Valenzuela.)

Don’t worry, though, as you can tell – you weren’t the only one to get “Scheppered,” with minus-14 points from the youngster. As a matter of fact, Scheppers was the most purchased player on DraftDay.com yesterday, as he was rostered on 29.9 percent of Monday’s lineups. He only cost $5,000, though, which is likely the reason. He was the lowest scoring player on the day. You would have had 14 more points if you used David Gonos as your starting pitcher.

You could have paid three times Scheppers’ salary and picked Stephen Strasburg, who was the second-most used player at 23.6 percent. While he scored 29 points, that was a mediocre fantasy output compared to other aces with similar prices, like Adam Wainwright (51), Felix Hernandez (49) and Jose Fernandez (47).

Before we go further, here’s a reminder about the top 48 Daily Fantasy Baseball writers to follow on Twitter!

Opening Day (Cheap) Stars on Draft Day

  1. Cody Asche, 3B, PHI: 69 pts
  2. Alejandeo De Aza, OF, CHW: 63
  3. Justin Smoak, 1B, SEA: 63
  4. Marcell Ozuna, OF, MIA: 54
  5. Adam LaRoche, 1B, WAS: 53
  6. Anthony Rendon, 2B, WAS: 52
  7. Matt Joyce, OF, TB: 45
  8. Dustin Ackley, OF, SEA: 43
  9. Casey McGahee, 1B, MIA: 43
  10. Ben Revere, OF, PHI: 42

Today is Another Day! Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy

Matt Cain lines up against Arizona for his first start, and while ESPN ranks him as their favorite pitcher of the day, he’s coming off a spring in which he posted a 7.47 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

ESPN.com – Daily Notes

They have Kyle Lohse ranked second, at home against Atlanta, and that seems even a little crazier. Is this an April Fool’s joke? I’m not buying it.

Unlike Opening Day, there aren’t any big matchups between two stud pitchers, but I do like Alex Cobb against the Blue Jays, and starter Drew Hutchinson. This seems like a slam dunk to me – you know, like Scheppers.

RotoExperts.com – Dobish’s Daily Bread

Dobish warns about playing any Indians and A’s on Tuesday, as there is a 100-percent chance of precipitation, and you might be left with some empty roster spots because of a rainout.

“The weather forecast looked grim for Monday’s game, too, but the weather pulled out to the east of the Bay Area and the opener was played without a hitch. Currently, the forecast states a 100 percent chance of precipitation from 7pm PT through 10pm PT, so there could very well be a delay or postponement. However, check back later in the afternoon before finalizing your roster. Things could very well clear up such as they did Monday.” – @DanielEDobish

Dobish also likes some of the Yankees players today, as they have their Opening Day a day later than the rest. He suggests Derek Jeter against an overmatched Astros team.

FanGraphs.com – The Daily Grind

Just after I mentioned that I like Cobb, I see that Brad Johnson loves Hutchinson today in traditional fantasy play. Citing Hutchinson’s awesome spring still makes me a little reticent.

They also have a cool chart with “Daily Updated Park Factors” that discusses how the parks line up for right- and left-handed hitters.

I’ll try to add some more links later, as they come in, but RotoGrinders doesn’t have anything up yet  for Tuesday. Follow me @DavidGonos to see what my daily buddies and I pick as our Draft Day Rapid Fire picks on Day 2. 

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